Morpeth Town 1-4 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Dec 2024

Morpeth Town
1-4 HT 0-1
Ashton United
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2025/2026

Morpeth Town vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Morpeth Town v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.78/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.15
+14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Morpeth Town vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
20.01.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-3 HT 1-3 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
03.10.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 4-3 HT 2-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
13.09.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
26.03.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP

Morpeth Town 1-4 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morpeth Town
1-4
AWAY Ashton United
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United swept aside Morpeth Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Morpeth Town had 55% of the ball to Ashton United's 45%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Morpeth Town and 1.50 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Ashton United?

Morpeth Town 1-4 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 34%, draw 22%, Ashton United 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ashton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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