Manchester City (K) 3-0 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.64/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/1.84
-12% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.6 Crosses 10.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.55 xG 1.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
492 Passes 248
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-4 HT 2-3 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
23.03.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
24.01.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKFAK
19.11.2023 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
07.09.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
3-0
AWAY Manchester United (K)
2.06 xG 0.91
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 6
279 Passes 458
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) cruised past Manchester United (K) 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 40% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 60%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.06 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Manchester City (K) and 1.40 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Manchester City (K) 3-0 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 55%, draw 24%, Manchester United (K) 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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