Pontevedra 1-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.01
6+ Goals
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.49/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.42
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Merida AD
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-5 HT 1-3 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
01.10.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 2-0 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
1-1
AWAY Merida AD
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra and Merida AD shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pontevedra had 69% of the ball to Merida AD's 31%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Merida AD led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pontevedra and 3.50 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Merida AD?

Pontevedra 1-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 54%, draw 23%, Merida AD 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pontevedra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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