Osasuna II 2-0 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.93/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.50
-13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2025 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna II Osasuna II HAZ
12.04.2025 Osasuna II Osasuna II 2-1 HT 2-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
22.12.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
16.11.2019 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-0 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
2-0
AWAY Barakaldo
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II got the better of Barakaldo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osasuna II had 47% of the ball to Barakaldo's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Osasuna II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osasuna II and 1.00 for Barakaldo.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Barakaldo?

Osasuna II 2-0 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 28%, draw 29%, Barakaldo 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barakaldo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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