Osasuna II 2-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.15/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.23
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
16.11.2019 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-0 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
2-1
AWAY Barakaldo
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II squeezed past Barakaldo 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Osasuna II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna II had 35% of the ball to Barakaldo's 65%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osasuna II and 1.00 for Barakaldo.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Barakaldo?

Osasuna II 2-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 33%, draw 27%, Barakaldo 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
12 Apr 2025
17:00 Tarazona vs Cultural Leonesa Analysis →
17:00 Marbella vs UD Ibiza Analysis →
18:00 Gimnastic Tarragona vs Unionistas Analysis →
19:00 Athletic Bilbao II vs Amorebieta Analysis →
19:00 Zamora CF vs Ponferradina Analysis →
19:00 Real Madrid II vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →