Marbella 2-1 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 46%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.41/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.57
-61% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +71%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
213 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 2-0 HT 1-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
2-1
AWAY UD Ibiza
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marbella vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella nicked a narrow win over UD Ibiza 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Marbella made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marbella had 36% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 64%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Marbella vs UD Ibiza?

Marbella 2-1 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marbella 29%, draw 32%, UD Ibiza 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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