Real Madrid II 1-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.66
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.99/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.96
+45% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
17.03.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
16.09.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
14.03.2021 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 3-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
13.12.2020 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
30.11.2019 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II and Atletico Madrid II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 38% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 62%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Madrid II and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Atletico Madrid II?

Real Madrid II 1-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 39%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid II 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5
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