Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.59/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.94
-6% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
04.10.2024 Amorebieta Amorebieta 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
16.10.2022 Amorebieta Amorebieta 3-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
06.02.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-3 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
07.11.2020 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 HT 2-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
29.02.2020 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-1 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
12.10.2019 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 3-3 HT 0-2 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2-1
AWAY Amorebieta
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II squeezed past Amorebieta 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 39% of the ball to Amorebieta's 61%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.83 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Amorebieta?

Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 47%, draw 27%, Amorebieta 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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