Zamora CF 1-2 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.2
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
0.97/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.76
-17% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora CF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ponferradina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
8 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-2 HT 2-0 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora CF
1-2
AWAY Ponferradina
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora CF vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina edged past Zamora CF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ponferradina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora CF had 52% of the ball to Ponferradina's 48%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Zamora CF vs Ponferradina?

Zamora CF 1-2 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora CF vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora CF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zamora CF 36%, draw 29%, Ponferradina 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamora CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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