Barakaldo 2-1 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Dec 2024

Barakaldo
2-1 HT 1-0
Osasuna II
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Barakaldo vs Osasuna II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barakaldo v Osasuna II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
2.32/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.51
+38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Barakaldo vs Osasuna II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Osasuna II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
The Meetings
16.11.2019 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-0 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3

Barakaldo 2-1 Osasuna II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
2-1
AWAY Osasuna II
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo nicked a narrow win over Osasuna II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barakaldo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Barakaldo had 54% of the ball to Osasuna II's 46%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?

Barakaldo 2-1 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 56%, draw 25%, Osasuna II 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barakaldo) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✗ BTTS No
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