Ceuta 2-1 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.10/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
-26% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Madrid II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
29.10.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
07.05.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-3 HT 0-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
15.01.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 2-2 HT 0-2 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ceuta had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ceuta and 0.75 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Real Madrid II?

Ceuta 2-1 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 44%, draw 26%, Real Madrid II 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
22 Dec 2024
14:00 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Lugo Analysis →
14:00 Sestao River vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
14:00 Barakaldo vs Osasuna II Analysis →
14:00 Alcoyano vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →
17:30 FC Andorra vs Amorebieta Analysis →
17:30 Atletico Sanluqueno vs Hercules Analysis →