Barakaldo 1-2 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Osasuna II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Osasuna II Osasuna II 2-1 HT 2-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
22.12.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
16.11.2019 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-0 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
1-2
AWAY Osasuna II
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II nicked a narrow win over Barakaldo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Osasuna II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barakaldo had 56% of the ball to Osasuna II's 44%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Osasuna II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barakaldo and 1.33 for Osasuna II.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?

Barakaldo 1-2 Osasuna II in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 40%, draw 22%, Osasuna II 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barakaldo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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