Villarreal II 2-3 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+11.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hercules
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2025 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-1 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
17.11.2024 Hercules Hercules 0-2 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
06.03.2021 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-1 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
06.12.2020 Hercules Hercules 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
18.01.2020 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
01.09.2019 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 1-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules squeezed past Villarreal II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hercules as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal II had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villarreal II and 0.50 for Hercules.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Hercules?

Villarreal II 2-3 Hercules in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 34%, draw 24%, Hercules 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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