Villarreal II 2-1 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.36/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.66
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hercules
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Hercules Hercules 0-2 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
06.03.2021 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-1 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
06.12.2020 Hercules Hercules 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
18.01.2020 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
01.09.2019 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 1-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
28.01.2012 Hercules Hercules 0-2 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
2-1
AWAY Hercules
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II nicked a narrow win over Hercules 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Villarreal II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villarreal II had 38% of the ball to Hercules's 62%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal II had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villarreal II and 0.33 for Hercules.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Hercules?

Villarreal II 2-1 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 46%, draw 23%, Hercules 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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