Lugo 0-4 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.26/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.47
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barcelona II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 306
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
21.04.2024 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
10.12.2023 Lugo Lugo 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
18.02.2018 Lugo Lugo 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
25.09.2017 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-2 HT 1-1 Lugo Lugo İS2
07.03.2015 Lugo Lugo 3-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
0-4
AWAY Barcelona II
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II ran out comfortable winners over Lugo 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lugo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugo had 38% of the ball to Barcelona II's 62%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lugo and 1.33 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Barcelona II?

Lugo 0-4 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugo 41%, draw 28%, Barcelona II 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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