Real Madrid II 3-2 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.83/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.50
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marbella
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Marbella Marbella 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
3-2
AWAY Marbella
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II squeezed past Marbella 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 43% of the ball to Marbella's 57%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Marbella?

Real Madrid II 3-2 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 52%, draw 25%, Marbella 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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