Intercity Alicante 0-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 33% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.07/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.00
+16% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Intercity Alicante
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Murcia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
18.02.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-1 HT 0-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
18.11.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
30.04.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-1 HT 0-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
04.09.2022 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 1-3 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
06.02.2022 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
0-1
AWAY Real Murcia
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia edged past Intercity Alicante 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 59% of the ball to Real Murcia's 41%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Intercity Alicante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Intercity Alicante and 0.67 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Real Murcia?

Intercity Alicante 0-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 23%, draw 27%, Real Murcia 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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