Real Murcia 1-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.26/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.41
-22% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-1 HT 0-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
18.11.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
30.04.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-1 HT 0-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
04.09.2022 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 1-3 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
06.02.2022 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
19.09.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-0 HT 1-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
1-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia and Intercity Alicante couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Murcia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Real Murcia had 66% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 34%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Murcia and 0.50 for Intercity Alicante.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Intercity Alicante?

Real Murcia 1-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 46%, draw 28%, Intercity Alicante 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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