Atletico Madrid II 2-0 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.85/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.52
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fuenlabrada
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
09.03.2014 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-2 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
2-0
AWAY Fuenlabrada
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II saw off Fuenlabrada 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 55% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 45%, shots finished 20-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 1.00 for Fuenlabrada.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Fuenlabrada?

Atletico Madrid II 2-0 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 46%, draw 29%, Fuenlabrada 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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