Marbella 1-0 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.05
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.25/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.34
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid II
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella squeezed past Real Madrid II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Marbella found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marbella had 42% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 58%, shots finished 5-15.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Real Madrid II?

Marbella 1-0 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marbella 39%, draw 30%, Real Madrid II 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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