Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.5
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.64/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.67
+8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1-1
AWAY Ourense CF
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona and Ourense CF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 54% of the ball to Ourense CF's 46%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Ourense CF?

Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 45%, draw 27%, Ourense CF 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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