Hercules 2-0 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.23/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.10
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
2-0
AWAY Ceuta
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules got the better of Ceuta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hercules as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hercules had 36% of the ball to Ceuta's 64%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Ceuta?

Hercules 2-0 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hercules 42%, draw 27%, Ceuta 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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