Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.45
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.53/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.72
+0% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +73%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lugo
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 2-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
12.11.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-3 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
04.08.2018 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-2 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo HAZ
13.05.2018 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
10.12.2017 Lugo Lugo 3-1 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
2-0
AWAY Lugo
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa got the better of Lugo 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 54% of the ball to Lugo's 46%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 1.20 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?

Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 48%, draw 27%, Lugo 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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