Barcelona II 1-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.24/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.80
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lugo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Lugo Lugo 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
18.02.2018 Lugo Lugo 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
25.09.2017 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-2 HT 1-1 Lugo Lugo İS2
07.03.2015 Lugo Lugo 3-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
04.10.2014 Barcelona II Barcelona II 0-1 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
25.01.2014 Lugo Lugo 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona II
1-0
AWAY Lugo
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barcelona II vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II edged past Lugo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Barcelona II had 58% of the ball to Lugo's 42%, shots finished 7-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barcelona II and 1.50 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Barcelona II vs Lugo?

Barcelona II 1-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona II vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Barcelona II 51%, draw 28%, Lugo 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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