Malaga 0-0 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.8
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.32
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
52%
-14.4pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.13
-34% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Murcia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-4 HT 1-1 Malaga Malaga İS3
27.05.2007 Malaga Malaga 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
20.12.2006 Real Murcia Real Murcia 3-2 HT 3-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
09.05.2004 Malaga Malaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS1
21.12.2003 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-2 HT 1-1 Malaga Malaga İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
0-0
AWAY Real Murcia
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga and Real Murcia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 36% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Malaga had 60% of the ball to Real Murcia's 40%, shots finished 10-2.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Malaga had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Malaga and 1.40 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Real Murcia?

Malaga 0-0 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Malaga 37%, draw 36%, Real Murcia 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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