Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +17%
1.11/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.73
-11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1-0
AWAY Celta Vigo II
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona edged past Celta Vigo II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Gimnastic Tarragona made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 37% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 63%, shots finished 4-5.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Celta Vigo II?

Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 40%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo II 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
21 Apr 2024
13:00 Malaga vs Real Murcia Analysis →
13:00 Melilla vs Merida AD Analysis →
13:00 UD Ibiza vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →
13:00 Ceuta vs Atletico Baleares Analysis →
17:00 Barcelona II vs Lugo Analysis →
19:00 Arenteiro vs Ponferradina Analysis →