UD Ibiza 0-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.46/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.78
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +60%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
03.11.2019 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
0-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II nicked a narrow win over UD Ibiza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UD Ibiza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 61% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 39%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UD Ibiza and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Atletico Madrid II?

UD Ibiza 0-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 45%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid II 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Ibiza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
21 Apr 2024
13:00 Malaga vs Real Murcia Analysis →
13:00 Melilla vs Merida AD Analysis →
13:00 Gimnastic Tarragona vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
13:00 Ceuta vs Atletico Baleares Analysis →
17:00 Barcelona II vs Lugo Analysis →
19:00 Arenteiro vs Ponferradina Analysis →