Melilla 2-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.41
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.70/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.01
-38% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Merida AD
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 2-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
07.02.2021 Melilla Melilla 2-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
08.11.2020 Merida AD Merida AD 2-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melilla
2-0
AWAY Merida AD
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla got the better of Merida AD 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Melilla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Melilla had 42% of the ball to Merida AD's 58%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Merida AD led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Melilla and 1.33 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Merida AD?

Melilla 2-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Melilla 37%, draw 29%, Merida AD 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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