Celta Vigo II 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.61
6+ Goals
8%
39.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.77/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.03
+43% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
0-1
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona squeezed past Celta Vigo II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 64% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 36%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Celta Vigo II 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 43%, draw 29%, Gimnastic Tarragona 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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