SD Logrones 0-3 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.62
6+ Goals
7%
39.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 51%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SD Logrones
0-3
AWAY Ponferradina
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SD Logrones vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina ran out comfortable winners over SD Logrones 3-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, SD Logrones had 52% of the ball to Ponferradina's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of SD Logrones vs Ponferradina?

SD Logrones 0-3 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SD Logrones vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SD Logrones 27%, draw 29%, Ponferradina 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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