Barcelona II 1-1 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +19%
1.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.60
+28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +88%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lugo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
10.12.2023 Lugo Lugo 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
18.02.2018 Lugo Lugo 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
25.09.2017 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-2 HT 1-1 Lugo Lugo İS2
07.03.2015 Lugo Lugo 3-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
04.10.2014 Barcelona II Barcelona II 0-1 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona II
1-1
AWAY Lugo
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Barcelona II vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II and Lugo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Barcelona II had 64% of the ball to Lugo's 36%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barcelona II and 1.33 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Barcelona II vs Lugo?

Barcelona II 1-1 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona II vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barcelona II 45%, draw 27%, Lugo 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barcelona II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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