Arenteiro 1-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.97
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
2.00/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.05
+25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenteiro
1-1
AWAY Amorebieta
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro and Amorebieta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Arenteiro carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Arenteiro had 48% of the ball to Amorebieta's 52%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Amorebieta?

Arenteiro 1-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 56%, draw 26%, Amorebieta 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arenteiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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