Merida AD vs Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merida AD v Ceuta — Team-Based Signals
Merida AD vs Ceuta Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Merida AD
İS3
1-0
HT 1-0
Merida AD
İS3
2-0
HT 0-0
Ceuta
İS3
0-1
HT 0-0
Merida AD
İS4
1-1
HT 0-0
Ceuta
İS4
Merida AD 1-1 Ceuta — Actual Match Statistics
Merida AD and Ceuta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, Merida AD had 54% of the ball to Ceuta's 46%, shots finished 11-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Merida AD had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Merida AD and 0.60 for Ceuta.
What was the final score of Merida AD vs Ceuta?
Merida AD 1-1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Ceuta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 36%, draw 28%, Ceuta 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.