Fuenlabrada 2-1 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.69
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -17%
0.81/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.98
-30% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
2-1
AWAY Hercules
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada squeezed past Hercules 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fuenlabrada found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 48% of the ball to Hercules's 52%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Hercules?

Fuenlabrada 2-1 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 37%, draw 28%, Hercules 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fuenlabrada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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