Hercules 0-2 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.54
Over 2.5
50%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
5.14
6+ Goals
10%
31.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 5.14 — our 24% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
61%
-11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
39%
+11.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -28%
1.20/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.33
-13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
286 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Villarreal II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2021 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-1 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
06.12.2020 Hercules Hercules 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
18.01.2020 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
01.09.2019 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 1-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
28.01.2012 Hercules Hercules 0-2 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
25.10.2011 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-1 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
0-2
AWAY Villarreal II
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II got the better of Hercules 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Villarreal II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hercules had 42% of the ball to Villarreal II's 58%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hercules and 1.17 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Villarreal II?

Hercules 0-2 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hercules 38%, draw 30%, Villarreal II 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hercules) ✗ BTTS Yes
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