Intercity Alicante 1-3 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.24/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.25
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
1-3
AWAY Fuenlabrada
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada beat Intercity Alicante 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Intercity Alicante at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 59% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 41%, shots finished 19-13.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Fuenlabrada?

Intercity Alicante 1-3 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Intercity Alicante win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 42%, draw 29%, Fuenlabrada 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Intercity Alicante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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