Atletico Madrid II 1-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.0
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.78/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.31
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Merida AD
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
28.01.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
29.10.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1-0
AWAY Merida AD
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II squeezed past Merida AD 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 44% of the ball to Merida AD's 56%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 0.50 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Merida AD?

Atletico Madrid II 1-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 44%, draw 28%, Merida AD 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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