Ourense CF 3-2 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 30%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
0.03/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.02
-98% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
448 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
3-2
AWAY Tarazona
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF edged past Tarazona 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ourense CF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ourense CF had 62% of the ball to Tarazona's 38%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Tarazona?

Ourense CF 3-2 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 44%, draw 28%, Tarazona 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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