K-League XI 1-0 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

K-League XI
1-0 HT 1-0
Newcastle United
📅30/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

K-League XI vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
37%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.0
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.22
No
40%
3.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
17.15
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
43%
3.44
4-5 Goals
27%
2.26
6+ Goals
13%
2.11
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.44 — our 43% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.21
1/2
5%
13.45
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
17%
12.9
X/2
18%
5.11
X/X
5%
10.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
28.5
2/2
15%
1.74
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 14% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
20%
+22.3pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
62%
-24.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
78%
-18.2pp
40%
BTTS No
22%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

K-League XI v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME K-League XI EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
424 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH K-League XI vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

K-League XI squeezed past Newcastle United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had K-League XI as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of K-League XI vs Newcastle United?

K-League XI 1-0 Newcastle United in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for K-League XI vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a K-League XI win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split K-League XI 43%, draw 20%, Newcastle United 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (K-League XI) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (K-League XI) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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