Leixoes 0-1 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

Leixoes
0-1 HT 0-0
Chaves
📅30/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Leixoes vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leixoes v Chaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 40%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/1.02
-32% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Leixoes vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chaves
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
222 Passes 324
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
18.08.2024 Chaves Chaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
24.01.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
16.08.2021 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
15.05.2021 Chaves Chaves 3-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
16.01.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves edged past Leixoes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Chaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leixoes and 0.83 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Chaves?

Leixoes 0-1 Chaves in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 38%, draw 30%, Chaves 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leixoes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
30 Jul 2025
00:00 K-League XI vs Newcastle United Analysis →
00:00 Coventry vs Real Betis Analysis →
02:30 Louisville City vs Eintracht Frankfurt Analysis →
11:00 Elche vs Getafe Analysis →
11:30 Villarreal II vs Hercules Analysis →
14:00 K-League XI vs Newcastle Analysis →