Leixoes 0-0 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.11/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.17
-18% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chaves
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
223 Passes 337
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Chaves Chaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
24.01.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
16.08.2021 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
15.05.2021 Chaves Chaves 3-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
16.01.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
11.01.2020 Chaves Chaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
0-0
AWAY Chaves
0.67 xG 0.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
215 Passes 258
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes and Chaves played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Leixoes had 45% of the ball to Chaves's 55%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.67 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leixoes and 0.83 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Chaves?

Leixoes 0-0 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 35%, draw 26%, Chaves 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chaves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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