Felgueiras 1932 vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Felgueiras 1932 v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Felgueiras 1932 vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Felgueiras 1932
POR3
1-1
HT 1-0
Alverca
POR3
Felgueiras 1932 0-1 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca edged past Felgueiras 1932 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Felgueiras 1932 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 64% of the ball to Alverca's 36%, shots finished 10-1, expected goals 2.51 to 0.66 — on chances, Felgueiras 1932 could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alverca led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.20 for Alverca.
What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Alverca?
Felgueiras 1932 0-1 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 41%, draw 27%, Alverca 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) went the other way.