Felgueiras 1932 vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Felgueiras 1932 v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Felgueiras 1932 vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Felgueiras 1932
POR3
1-1
HT 1-0
Alverca
POR3
Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Felgueiras 1932 and Alverca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Felgueiras 1932 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 60% of the ball to Alverca's 40%, shots finished 16-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alverca led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.50 for Alverca.
What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Alverca?
Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Alverca in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 41%, draw 28%, Alverca 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.