Sporting Braga II 0-0 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.60/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.69
+32% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +71%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
21.10.2017 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
30.09.2015 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR2
26.04.2015 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
08.12.2014 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 4-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR2
18.01.2014 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
0-0
AWAY Sporting Covilha
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II and Sporting Covilha played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 55% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.60 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Sporting Covilha?

Sporting Braga II 0-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 44%, draw 26%, Sporting Covilha 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Braga II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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