Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Academica — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 Academica — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa squeezed past Academica 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 55% of the ball to Academica's 45%, shots finished 17-7.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Academica?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 45%, draw 27%, Academica 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.