Maritimo vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR2
3-1
HT 2-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Maritimo
POR
2-0
HT 2-0
Maritimo
POR
Maritimo 2-2 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo and Paços De Ferreira couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Maritimo had 54% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 46%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.26 to 1.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maritimo and 0.83 for Paços De Ferreira.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Paços De Ferreira?
Maritimo 2-2 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Paços De Ferreira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 40%, draw 29%, Paços De Ferreira 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.