Paços De Ferreira vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paços De Ferreira v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
Paços De Ferreira vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR2
3-1
HT 2-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Maritimo
POR
2-0
HT 2-0
Maritimo
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
1-2
HT 0-1
Paços De Ferreira
HAZ
Paços De Ferreira 1-2 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo edged past Paços De Ferreira 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 66% of the ball to Maritimo's 34%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.07 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Paços De Ferreira.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.50 for Maritimo.
What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Maritimo?
Paços De Ferreira 1-2 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Maritimo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 34%, draw 24%, Maritimo 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.