CF Os Belenenses 0-0 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela EU Bookmakers 48%
-16% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.24/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.81
-22% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 20.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Tondela
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
339 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Tondela Tondela 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
12.03.2023 CF Os Belenenses 0-2 HT 0-1 Tondela Tondela POR2
16.09.2022 Tondela Tondela 3-1 HT 2-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Tondela played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.67 for Tondela.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Tondela?

CF Os Belenenses 0-0 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 35%, draw 28%, Tondela 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tondela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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