Porto II vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto II v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Porto II vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Porto II
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Mafra
POR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto II
POR2
3-2
HT 2-1
Porto II
POR2
3-1
HT 2-1
Mafra
POR2
0-4
HT 0-3
Porto II
POR2
Porto II 1-1 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Porto II and Mafra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Porto II had 54% of the ball to Mafra's 46%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 3.59 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Porto II and 1.17 for Mafra.
What was the final score of Porto II vs Mafra?
Porto II 1-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto II vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Porto II 42%, draw 28%, Mafra 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto II), BTTS No went the other way.