Alverca vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alverca v Felgueiras 1932 — Team-Based Signals
Alverca vs Felgueiras 1932 Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Felgueiras 1932
POR3
1-1
HT 1-0
Alverca
POR3
Alverca 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca and Felgueiras 1932 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Felgueiras 1932 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alverca had 45% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 55%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 1.04 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alverca had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Alverca and 0.75 for Felgueiras 1932.
What was the final score of Alverca vs Felgueiras 1932?
Alverca 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alverca vs Felgueiras 1932?
Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alverca 30%, draw 29%, Felgueiras 1932 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), BTTS No went the other way.